February 24, 2024

Everton now stand a 17% chance of being relegated from the Premier League, according to The Opta Supercomputer.

The prediction comes after the Merseyside outfit played out a goalless draw with Aston Villa at Goodison Park on Sunday (14 January), with a new Premier League charge on their backs too.

The point leaves Dyche’s outfit sitting 17th in the Premier League table, with the Toffees on 17 points from their 21 matches so far, with another potential points deduction on the cards.



“Everton also secured a point at the weekend, drawing 0-0 at home to title challengers Aston Villa,” according to Opta Analyst (15 January).

“It was a fairly turgid game at Goodison Park, only brought to life by an Alex Moreno goal that was correctly ruled out by the video assistant referee, eventually.

“The point did slightly improve Dyche’s men’s chance of staying up, only being relegated in 17.0% of the supercomputer’s simulations now, down from 18.8% after their previous game. They sit one place and one point above 18th placed Luton having played a game more.”


Staying up?

It is, of course, too early to tell which clubs will be relegated from the Premier League this season given how there is still a long way to go.

But it seems that Everton will be right in amongst it when the time comes, particularly if the club are handed another points deduction following their latest FFP charge.

The Toffees have already been handed a 10-point deduction for a previous charge this season, although they are currently appealing that sanction.

Fortunately, Dyche galvanised his players after that punishment, with Everton rising up the standings thanks to several important victories.

However, they are now on a disappointing run of form, with the Toffees now without a win in their last four league games.

One saving grace is the poor form of the recently promoted clubs, with Sheffield United, Burnley and Luton Town all finding it difficult since making it to the top flight.



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